League One

League One | Gameweek 26

Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
1 - 0
Burton Albion

Moon (51' og.)
Morley (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Baah (57'), Gilligan (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Fleetwood 0-2 Bolton
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Shrewsbury
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 13.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Burton Albion
68.87% ( -0.4)	17.78% ( 0.19)	13.35% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 54.9% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.68% (

-0.37)

36.32% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.55% (

-0.41)

58.45% (

0.41)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.43% (

-0.19)

9.56% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.99% (

-0.45)

32.01% (

0.46)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.71% (

0.08)

39.29% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24% (

0.07)

76% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 68.87%

Burton Albion 13.35%

Draw 17.78%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Burton Albion
2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.28% Total : 68.87%	1-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.78%	1-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.74% Total : 13.35%