League One Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Jasper Moon 51' goal
  • Aaron Morley 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Baah 57'
  • yellowcard Ciaran Gilligan 65'

Bolton Wanderers vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Fleetwood 0 - 2 Bolton
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Dion Charles

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Burton Albion 1 - 0 Shrewsbury
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Mark Helm

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 13.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 68.87% (-0.41)
Draw 17.78% (+0.19)
Burton Albion 13.35% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.9% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.68% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 36.32% (+0.38)
Over 3.5 41.55% (-0.41)
Under 3.5 58.45% (+0.42)
Over 4.5 23.4% (-0.34)
Under 4.5 76.6% (+0.34)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 90.43% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 9.56% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 67.99% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 32.01% (+0.46)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 60.71% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 39.29% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 24% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 76% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 68.87%
Draw 17.78%
Burton Albion 13.35%
Bolton Wanderers
2-0 @ 10.35% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.67% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.82% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 8.1% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 4.75% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 4.44% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.23% (-0.06)
5-1 @ 2.08% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.25%
Total : 68.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.24% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.52% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.76% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.78%
Burton Albion
1-2 @ 3.85% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 3.51% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 1.64% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.41% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 13.35%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Rekeem Harper 15' yellowcard
  • Mark Helm 46' goal
  • Deji Oshilaja 56' yellowcard
  • Max Crocombe 57' yellowcard
  • Jake Caprice 74' yellowcard
  • Jasper Moon 84' yellowcard
  • Mustapha Carayol 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paris Maghoma 20'
  • yellowcard George Thomason 44'
  • goal Dion Charles 58'
League One Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Josh Walker 59' goal
  • goal Victor Adeboyejo 5'
League One Gameweek 13
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Amadou Bakayoko 87' goal
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 90'+8' goal
  • goal Sam Hughes 73'
League One Gameweek 25
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Joe Powell 11' goal
  • John Brayford 14' goal
  • John Brayford 18' goal
  • Michael Mancienne 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Williams 68'
  • goal Dion Charles 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 6
Sep 6, 2021 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jordan Williams 36' yellowcard
  • Ian Evatt 90'+5' yellowcard
  • George Johnston 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Hamer 9'
  • yellowcard Lucas Akins 19'
  • yellowcard John Brayford 69'
  • yellowcard Conor Shaughnessy 80'
  • redcard John Brayford 86'
League One Gameweek 13
Mar 10, 2020 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Jamie Murphy 28' goal
  • Jamie Murphy 65' goal
  • Joe Sbarra 90' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Delaney 20'
  • yellowcard Aristote Nsiala 34'
  • goal Ethan Hamilton 38'