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League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Burton Albion

Bolton
1 - 0
Burton Albion

Moon (51' og.)
Morley (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Baah (57'), Gilligan (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-2 Bolton
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Shrewsbury
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Burton Albion

 Although Burton will enter Monday's contest off the back of consecutive home victories, they have tended to struggle on the road, having lost four of their last five matches. We think that the Brewers could experience more away-day disappointment against a Bolton side that has won seven of their previous eight competitive home games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 13.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBurton Albion
68.87% (-0.40299999999999 -0.4) 17.78% (0.188 0.19) 13.35% (0.218 0.22)
Both teams to score 54.9% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.68% (-0.37100000000001 -0.37)36.32% (0.373 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.55% (-0.409 -0.41)58.45% (0.411 0.41)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (-0.19 -0.19)9.56% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.99% (-0.455 -0.45)32.01% (0.457 0.46)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.71% (0.076000000000001 0.08)39.29% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24% (0.071999999999999 0.07)76% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 68.87%
    Burton Albion 13.35%
    Draw 17.78%
Bolton WanderersDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 10.35% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.086 0.09)
3-0 @ 8.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.57% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.75% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 4.44% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.23% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-1 @ 2.08% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.07% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 68.87%
1-1 @ 8.24% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.76% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.78%
1-2 @ 3.85% (0.054 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.51% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.64% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.2% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 13.35%

How you voted: Bolton vs Burton Albion

Bolton Wanderers
88.2%
Draw
0.0%
Burton Albion
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Burton Albion
1-1
Bolton
Helm (46')
Harper (15'), Oshilaja (56'), Crocombe (57'), Caprice (74'), Moon (84'), Carayol (87')
Charles (58')
Maghoma (20'), Thomason (44')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Burton Albion
1-1
Bolton
Walker (59')
Adeboyejo (5')
> Preview
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Bolton
2-1
Burton Albion
Bakayoko (87'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+8')
Hughes (73')
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Burton Albion
3-1
Bolton
Powell (11'), Brayford (14', 18')
Mancienne (55')
Charles (90+4')
Williams (68')
> Preview
Sep 6, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 6
Bolton
0-0
Burton Albion
Williams (36'), Evatt (90+5'), Johnston (90+5')
Hamer (9'), Akins (19'), Brayford (69'), Shaughnessy (80')
Brayford (86')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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