Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 13.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.