League One

League One | Gameweek 22

Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
3 - 0
Burton Albion

Rodrigues (25', 83'), McGuane (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gordon (74')

Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Burton Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Reading 1-1 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Stevenage
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 61.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Burton Albion
61.95% ( 0.08)	21.74% ( -0.04)	16.31% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 48.87% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.96% (

0.07)

48.04% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.79% (

0.07)

70.21% (

-0.07)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.04% (

0.05)

14.97% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.61% (

0.1)

43.39% (

-0.1)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.47% (

-0.02)

42.53% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.11% (

-0.01)

78.9% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 61.95%

Burton Albion 16.31%

Draw 21.73%

Oxford United	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 61.95%	1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.73%	0-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 16.31%