Wrexham AFC
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 5, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Burton Albion

Wrexham
2 - 3
Burton Albion

Dalby (5'), Davies (90+2')
Davies (26')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Oshilaja (1'), Helm (3'), Sweeney (64')
Sweeney (36'), Hughes (90+4')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Wrexham and Burton Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Yeovil
Sunday, December 3 at 3.45pm in FA Cup

Burton Albion

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 19.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawBurton Albion
59.37% (0.079999999999998 0.08)21.25% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)19.38% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.47% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.09% (0.141 0.14)40.91% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.7% (0.144 0.14)63.3% (-0.148 -0.15)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.55% (0.067000000000007 0.07)13.44% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.58% (0.139 0.14)40.41% (-0.144 -0.14)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.24% (0.039000000000001 0.04)34.76% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.51% (0.044 0.04)71.49% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 59.37%
    Burton Albion 19.38%
    Draw 21.25%
WrexhamDrawBurton Albion
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.38% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.29% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.16% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 59.37%
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.67% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.25%
1-2 @ 5.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.84%
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 19.38%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Burton Albion

Wrexham
88.2%
Draw
5.9%
Burton Albion
5.9%
17