League One Gameweek 21
Burton Albion
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
Stevenage
  • Deji Oshilaja 7' goal
  • Cole Stockton 66' yellowcard
  • Deji Oshilaja 77' yellowcard
  • Sam Hughes 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steve Evans 0'
  • goal Kane Hemmings 45'+1'
  • goal Jamie Reid 51'
  • yellowcard Harrison Neal 61'
  • yellowcard Jake Forster-Caskey 63'

Burton Albion vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Burton Albion 0 - 2 Portsmouth
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Mark Helm

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Stevenage 2 - 2 Peterborough
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Jamie Reid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result

Burton Albion 28.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 26.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Stevenage 45.27%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.03% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 53.11%
Over 3.5 25.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 74.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 11.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 88.44% ▲ (+0.01)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 66.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 33.39%
Over 1.5 29.99% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 70.01%

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 76.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 23.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 42.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 57.37% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 28.54%
Draw 26.18%
Stevenage 45.27%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 8.57%
2-1 @ 6.83%
2-0 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.5%
3-2 @ 1.81%
3-0 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 28.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.81%
2-2 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.18%
Stevenage
0-1 @ 11.34%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-2 @ 8.24%
1-3 @ 4.38%
0-3 @ 3.99%
2-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 45.27%

Head to Head

League Two
Burton Albion
Mar 30, 2015 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Stevenage
  • Bira Dembele 45' goal
  • Stuart Beavon 88' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Naylor 12' (OG)
  • yellowcard Bruno Andrade 65'
League Two
Stevenage
Oct 25, 2014 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Burton Albion
  • Dean Parrett 14' yellowcard
  • Ian Sharps 84' goal
League Two
Burton Albion
Mar 22, 2011 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Stevenage
  • Scott Malone 83' yellowcard
  • John McGrath 87' yellowcard
  • goal John Mousinho 4'
  • yellowcard Scott Laird 40'
  • yellowcard Jon Ashton 72'
  • goal John Mousinho 88'
League Two
Stevenage
Oct 16, 2010 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Burton Albion
  • Mark Roberts 24' yellowcard
  • Chris Holroyd 30' yellowcard
  • Scott Laird 34' goal
  • Chris Holroyd 58' goal
  • Luke Foster 70' redcard
  • Scott Laird 74' yellowcard
  • Michael Bostwick 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Walker 27'
  • yellowcard Nathan Stanton 30'
  • yellowcard Adam Bolder 30'
  • yellowcard Shaun Harrad 33'
  • goal Aaron Webster 48'

Form Data

Wrexham 2 - 3 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 0 - 2 Portsmouth
Peterborough 4 - 0 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 2 - 1 Mansfield
Burton Albion 0 - 2 Port Vale
Northampton 2 - 0 Burton Albion
Stevenage 1 - 1 Port Vale
Stevenage 2 - 2 Peterborough
Fleetwood 0 - 3 Stevenage
Stevenage 1 - 0 Lincoln
Stevenage 5 - 2 Palace U21s
Wycombe 0 - 1 Stevenage