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Championship header 2

League One

Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Stevenage

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Stevenage

Oshilaja (7')
Stockton (66'), Oshilaja (77'), Hughes (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hemmings (45+1'), Reid (51' pen.)
Evans (0'), Neal (61'), Forster-Caskey (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wrexham 2-3 Burton Albion
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Stevenage

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawStevenage
28.54% (0.0019999999999989 0)26.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.27%
Both teams to score 51.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)53.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.69% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.61% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.99% (0.004999999999999 0)70.01%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.39% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.37% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 28.54%
    Stevenage 45.27%
    Draw 26.18%
Burton AlbionDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 8.57%
2-1 @ 6.83%
2-0 @ 4.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.5%
3-2 @ 1.81%
3-0 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 28.54%
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 7.81%
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 11.34%
1-2 @ 9.04%
0-2 @ 8.24%
1-3 @ 4.38%
0-3 @ 3.99%
2-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 45.27%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Stevenage

Burton Albion
16.7%
Draw
33.3%
Stevenage
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2015 7.45pm
Burton Albion
1-1
Stevenage
Dembele (45' og.)
Beavon (88')
Naylor (12' og.)
Andrade (65')
> Match Report
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Stevenage
1-0
Burton Albion
Sharps (84' og.)
Parrett (14')
Mar 22, 2011 3pm
Burton Albion
0-2
Stevenage

Malone (83'), McGrath (87')
Mousinho (4', 88')
Laird (40'), Ashton (72')
Oct 16, 2010 3pm
Stevenage
2-1
Burton Albion
Laird (34' pen.), Holroyd (58')
Roberts (24'), Holroyd (30'), Laird (74'), Bostwick (80')
Foster (70')
Webster (48')
Walker (27'), Stanton (30'), Bolder (30'), Harrad (33')