Potential new FA Cup header

FA Cup

Stevenage
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Port Vale

Stevenage
1 - 1
Port Vale

Reid (69')
Ashby-Hammond (64'), Reid (80'), Piergianni (81'), Wildin (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ojo (76' pen.)
Loft (78'), Ikpeazu (81'), Lowe (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Stevenage and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Stevenage 2-2 Peterborough
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One

Port Vale

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Derby
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawPort Vale
49.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)24.45%25.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.18% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.09% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)47.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.92% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)70.09% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)19.23% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.06% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)50.94% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.09% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)32.91% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01)69.49% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 49.89%
    Port Vale 25.66%
    Draw 24.45%
StevenageDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.43%
2-1 @ 9.56%
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.25%
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.17%
4-0 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 49.89%
1-1 @ 11.59%
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 7.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 25.66%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Port Vale

Stevenage
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Port Vale
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Stevenage
0-0
Port Vale
Roberts (34'), Thompson (50'), Smith (80')
Arblaster (29'), Smith (38'), Balmer (45')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Port Vale
2-0
Stevenage
O'Neill (6' og.), Edmondson (12')
Walker (2')

Upson (87')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Stevenage
1-1
Port Vale
Norris (33')
Rodney (20')
Smith (13'), Wilson (30'), Walker (52')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Port Vale
0-0
Stevenage
Conlon (19')
Hutton (16')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 14
Stevenage
2-1
Port Vale
Oteh (10'), Newton (53')
Rodney (81')
Brisley (14'), Oyeleke (16')