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Championship header 2

League One

Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Port Vale

Lincoln
1 - 1
Port Vale

Shodipo (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Garrity (34')
Arblaster (26'), Garrity (69')
Arblaster (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Notts County
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPort Vale
42.58%26.59%30.83%
Both teams to score 50.98% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.26% (0.00099999999999767 0)53.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.22%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36%59.64%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.5%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 42.58%
    Port Vale 30.83%
    Draw 26.59%
Lincoln CityDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 7.7%
3-1 @ 4.05%
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.58%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 8%
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 9.11%
1-2 @ 7.19%
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 2.73%
0-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.83%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Lincoln
3-2
Port Vale
Sorensen (11'), House (42'), Jackson (87')
Taylor (30' pen.), Butterworth (33')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Port Vale
1-0
Lincoln
Butterworth (68')
> Preview
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Lincoln
1-1
Port Vale
McCartan (58')
Eardley (43')
Oyeleke (90')
Kay (17'), Joyce (36'), Clark (43'), Hannant (47')
Oct 13, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 13
Port Vale
2-6
Lincoln
Conlon (51'), Whitfield (90' pen.)
Legge (45'), Miller (56')
Anderson (3'), McCartan (38'), Legge (45' og.), Bostwick (48'), Wharton (78'), Wilson (84')
Wilson (60')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Port Vale
0-4
Lincoln

Dodds (17'), Montano (35')
Shackell (5'), Green (48' pen.), O'Connor (80'), Akinde (82')
Rhead (58')