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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Reading win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Oxford United |
| 35.91% ( | 24.53% ( | 39.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.48% ( | 43.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.09% ( | 65.91% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( | 23.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.92% ( | 58.07% ( |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.01% ( | 21.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.71% ( | 55.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Oxford United |
| 2-1 @ 8.16% 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 2-0 @ 5.38% ( 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 3-0 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 4-2 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 35.91% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 3-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0-2 @ 6.02% ( 1-3 @ 4.36% 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.57% |