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League One | Gameweek 13
Dec 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Oxford United

Reading
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Smith (43')
Craig (19'), Holmes (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brown (39')
Thorniley (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Reading and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Reading win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawOxford United
35.91% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)24.53% (0.0019999999999989 0)39.57% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 59.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)43.51% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)65.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)23.88% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.92% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)58.07% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)21.98% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.71% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)55.29% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Reading 35.91%
    Oxford United 39.57%
    Draw 24.52%
ReadingDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 8.16%
1-0 @ 7.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06%
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 35.91%
1-1 @ 11.38%
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.52%
1-2 @ 8.63%
0-1 @ 7.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 4.36%
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.04%
1-4 @ 1.65%
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 39.57%

How you voted: Reading vs Oxford Utd

Reading
33.3%
Draw
4.8%
Oxford United
61.9%
21