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FA Cup

Eastleigh
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 3, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Silverlake Stadium
Reading logo

Eastleigh
2 - 1
Reading

McCallum (22', 90+4')
Langston (9'), Taylor (23'), McCallum (35'), Maguire (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Azeez (86')
Savage (29'), Mola (54'), Mbengue (81'), Dean (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Eastleigh and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Eastleigh
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League

Reading

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Reading 5-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
EastleighDrawReading
28.71% (-0.13 -0.13)22.95% (-0.106 -0.11)48.33% (0.236 0.24)
Both teams to score 61.95% (0.297 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.16% (0.429 0.43)38.83% (-0.427 -0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.85% (0.45 0.45)61.14% (-0.45 -0.45)
Eastleigh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07% (0.134 0.13)25.93% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07% (0.18 0.18)60.93% (-0.177 -0.18)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.63% (0.252 0.25)16.36% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.01% (0.449 0.45)45.98% (-0.44900000000001 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Eastleigh 28.71%
    Reading 48.33%
    Draw 22.95%
EastleighDrawReading
2-1 @ 7% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 5.73% (-0.095 -0.09)
2-0 @ 3.87% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 28.71%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.24% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.68% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.95% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.66% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.19% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.82% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.56% (0.044 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.9% (0.025 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.73% (0.036 0.04)
1-5 @ 0.93% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 48.33%

How you voted: Eastleigh vs Reading

Eastleigh
40.0%
Draw
10.0%
Reading
50.0%
10