National League | Gameweek 20

Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh
2 - 1
Altrincham

Quigley (12'), McCallum (86')
McCallum (55'), Taylor (57'), Hodson (65'), Quigley (80'), Barlow (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Conn (66' pen.)

Coverage of the National League clash between Eastleigh and Altrincham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Oldham 1-1 Eastleigh
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Altrincham

All competitions

Last Game: Altrincham 2-0 Southend
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Eastleigh in this match.

Result
Eastleigh	Draw	Altrincham
46.73% ( 0.51)	23.59% ( -0.07)	29.67% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 60.32% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.72% (

0.05)

41.27% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.33% (

0.05)

63.67% (

-0.05)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.09% (

0.22)

17.91% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.29% (

0.38)

48.71% (

-0.38)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.47% (

-0.27)

26.53% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.27% (

-0.36)

61.73% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Eastleigh 46.73%

Altrincham 29.68%

Draw 23.59%

Eastleigh	Draw	Altrincham
2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.74% Total : 46.73%	1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.59%	1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.68%