Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Eastleigh in this match.