National League | Gameweek 16

Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh
3 - 1
York City

Maguire (33'), McCallum (60', 76')
Taylor (57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Howe (62')
Kennedy (44'), John-Lewis (90+3'), Marsh (90+3')

Coverage of the National League clash between Eastleigh and York City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 3-1 Eastleigh
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

York City

All competitions

Last Game: York City 2-2 Bromley
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for York City had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.

Result
Eastleigh	Draw	York City
46.57% ( 0)	24.53% ( -0)	28.9% ( -0)

Both teams to score 56.57% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.02% (

0.01)

45.98% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.71% (

0.01)

68.28% (

-0.01)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.16% (

19.83% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.07% (

0.01)

51.92% (

-0.01)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.56% (

29.43% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.57% (

65.43% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Eastleigh 46.57%

York City 28.9%

Draw 24.53%

Eastleigh	Draw	York City
1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.34% 2-0 @ 7.64% 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.96% Total : 46.57%	1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.53%	0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.34% Total : 28.9%