National League | Gameweek 12

Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Lner Community Stadium

York City
2 - 4
Barnet

Akinyemi (6', 90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pritchard (12'), Kanu (65'), Hall-Johnson (68'), Brunt (82')
Hall-Johnson (20'), Collinge (53')

Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Barnet.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions

Last Game: Woking 1-2 York City
Saturday, September 23 at 12.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Barnet

All competitions

Last Game: Barnet 0-0 Halifax
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for York City had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
York City	Draw	Barnet
29.35% ( -0.05)	25.5% ( 0.02)	45.15% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 53.66% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.07% (

-0.11)

49.93% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.08% (

-0.1)

71.91% (

0.1)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.87% (

-0.1)

31.13% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.54% (

-0.11)

67.46% (

0.11)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.91% (

-0.03)

22.09% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.55% (

-0.05)

55.44% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

York City 29.35%

Barnet 45.14%

Draw 25.49%

York City	Draw	Barnet
1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 29.35%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.15% 0-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.14%