Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for York City had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Southend United |
| 23.7% | 25.67% | 50.63% |
| Both teams to score 48.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.62% | 54.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.24% | 75.76% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.84% | 38.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.07% | 74.92% ( |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.49% ( | 21.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.43% | 54.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 7.91% 2-1 @ 5.85% 2-0 @ 3.81% 3-1 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.44% 3-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.58% Total : 23.7% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 12.61% 0-2 @ 9.69% 1-2 @ 9.34% 0-3 @ 4.96% 1-3 @ 4.78% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-4 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.84% Other @ 3.2% Total : 50.63% |