Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Altrincham |
| 43.47% ( | 26.24% | 30.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.46% ( | 52.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.8% ( | 74.2% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( | 24.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.73% ( | 58.27% ( |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.19% ( | 31.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.76% ( | 68.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Altrincham |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 8.9% 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.72% Total : 43.47% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 8.75% 1-2 @ 7.15% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.28% |