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Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 38
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium
Dagenham & Redbridge

Altrincham
2 - 2
Dag & Red

Hulme (46'), Phipps (65' og.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Effiong (41' pen.), Saunders (77')
Coverage of the National League clash between Altrincham and Dagenham & Redbridge.

Form, Standings, Stats

Altrincham

All competitions
Last Game: Dorking 3-2 Altrincham
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions
Last Game: Southend 2-0 Dag & Red
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
AltrinchamDrawDagenham & Redbridge
39.62% (-0.509 -0.51)24.77% (0.158 0.16)35.61% (0.348 0.35)
Both teams to score 58.47% (-0.515 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.32% (-0.693 -0.69)44.68% (0.69 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.95% (-0.673 -0.67)67.05% (0.67100000000001 0.67)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.553 -0.55)22.47% (0.551 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (-0.829 -0.83)56.02% (0.828 0.83)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (-0.128 -0.13)24.58% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)59.07% (0.177 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 39.62%
    Dagenham & Redbridge 35.61%
    Draw 24.77%
AltrinchamDrawDagenham & Redbridge
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.25% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.16% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.06% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 39.62%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.52% (0.163 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.75% (0.201 0.2)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.122 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.8% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.54% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 35.61%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Dag & Red
4-1
Altrincham
Onariase (26'), Vilhete (34'), Barrows (65' og.), Walker (69')
Lundstram (78')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Altrincham
3-0
Dag & Red
Mooney (19'), Hulme (30'), Hancock (53')
Perritt (90')

McCallum (90')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Dag & Red
2-3
Altrincham
Vilhete (34'), Robinson (41')
Reynolds (10' og.), Hancock (87'), Mooney (90+4')
Colclough (84')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Altrincham
0-1
Dag & Red

Moult (60'), Hannigan (78'), Colclough (81')
Wright (79')
Rance (66')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Dag & Red
0-1
Altrincham

Rance (48'), Ogogo (80')
Moult (39')
Senior (30'), Kosylo (60'), Moult (89'), Thompson (89')