National League | Gameweek 4

Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK

The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot
1 - 1
York City

Jones (41')
Harries (45+7'), Thomas (60'), Jones (66'), Frost (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

John-Lewis (90+3')
Andoh (74'), Cordner (83')

Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and York City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-0 Aldershot
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

York City

All competitions

National League

Last Game: York City 2-2 Altrincham
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for York City had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Aldershot Town	Draw	York City
41.21% ( 1.06)	26.16% ( -0.09)	32.62% ( -0.97)

Both teams to score 53.01% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.56% (

0.15)

51.43% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.75% (

0.13)

73.24% (

-0.13)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.34% (

0.62)

24.65% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.82% (

0.86)

59.17% (

-0.86)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.36% (

-0.55)

29.64% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.32% (

-0.67)

65.68% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Aldershot Town 41.21%

York City 32.62%

Draw 26.16%

Aldershot Town	Draw	York City
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.21%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.62%