National League | Gameweek 2

Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK

Boundary Park

Oldham
5 - 1
Aldershot

Norwood (32', 86'), Dickenson (37', 88'), Tollitt (43')
Raglan (9'), Tollitt (73')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Kitching (74' og.)
O'Keefe (20'), Thomas (64')
Thomas (84')

Coverage of the National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Southend 4-0 Oldham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aldershot 5-2 Oxford City
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oldham Athletic	Draw	Aldershot Town
45.86% ( -0.12)	25.58% ( 0.01)	28.56% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 52.91% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.33% (

0.02)

50.67% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.43% (

0.02)

72.57% (

-0.02)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.92% (

-0.04)

22.08% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.57% (

-0.07)

55.43% (

0.07)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.9% (

0.09)

32.1% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.43% (

0.1)

68.57% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Oldham Athletic 45.85%

Aldershot Town 28.56%

Draw 25.58%

Oldham Athletic	Draw	Aldershot Town
1-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.85%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 28.56%