Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Aldershot Town
National League | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot
5 - 2
Oxford City

Barham (13'), Mnoga (33'), Tolaj (45+8', 89'), Stokes (50')
Stokes (53'), Barham (66')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Parker (27', 90+8')
Ashby (72')
Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Altrincham
Saturday, April 29 at 6.15pm in National League

Oxford City

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford City 4-0 St Albans City
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Aldershot TownDrawOxford City
28.37% (-0.171 -0.17)25.07% (0.174 0.17)46.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 54.41% (-0.684 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.36% (-0.842 -0.84)48.64% (0.842 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.24% (-0.771 -0.77)70.76% (0.771 0.77)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.81% (-0.56200000000001 -0.56)31.19% (0.562 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.48% (-0.66 -0.66)67.52% (0.66 0.66)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08% (-0.345 -0.34)20.93% (0.345 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.35% (-0.542 -0.54)53.66% (0.543 0.54)
Score Analysis
    Aldershot Town 28.37%
    Oxford City 46.55%
    Draw 25.07%
Aldershot TownDrawOxford City
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.145 0.15)
2-1 @ 6.93% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.43% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.69% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 28.37%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.223 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 10.2% (0.237 0.24)
1-2 @ 9.3% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.98% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.85% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.16% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 46.55%