National League South
May 7, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Court Place Farm

Oxford City
2 - 0
Worthing

McEachran (25'), Potter (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Oxford City and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions
Last Game: Bath City 2-1 Oxford City
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South

Worthing

All competitions
Last Game: Worthing 2-1 Braintree
Wednesday, May 3 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Oxford CityDrawWorthing
47.94%22.76%29.29%
Both teams to score 63.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.45%37.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.21%59.78%
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.97%16.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.63%45.37%
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09%24.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.47%59.52%
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 47.94%
    Worthing 29.29%
    Draw 22.76%
Oxford CityDrawWorthing
2-1 @ 9.3%
1-0 @ 7.31%
2-0 @ 6.69%
3-1 @ 5.68%
3-0 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 3.95%
4-1 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 1.87%
4-2 @ 1.81%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 47.94%
1-1 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 6.46%
0-0 @ 3.99%
3-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.76%
1-2 @ 7.06%
0-1 @ 5.55%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 1.79%
1-4 @ 1.14%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.29%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
gameweek 33
Oxford City
3-0
Worthing
Miccio (43'), Parker (73' pen.), McEachran (78')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 18
Worthing
1-0
Oxford City
Kealy (63')