National League South
May 3, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Davide Rodari 2' goal
  • Jack Sims 56' goal
  • goal Lamar Reynolds 9'

Worthing vs Braintree Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Worthing

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
Worthing 3 - 1 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
94
Top scorer
Ollie Pearce

Braintree Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
Slough 1 - 1 Braintree
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Aaron Blair

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Worthing in this match.

Result

Worthing 51.5% (+0.64)
Draw 22.29% (-0.20)
Braintree Town 26.21% (-0.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.14% (+0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.36% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 37.64% (-0.54)
Over 3.5 40.12% (+0.58)
Under 3.5 59.88% (-0.58)
Over 4.5 22.24% (+0.47)
Under 4.5 77.77% (-0.47)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5 85.18% (+0.41)
Under 0.5 14.82% (-0.41)
Over 1.5 56.88% (+0.78)
Under 1.5 43.12% (-0.77)

Braintree Town Goals

Over 0.5 72.95% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 27.05% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 37.58% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 62.42% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Worthing 51.5%
Draw 22.29%
Braintree Town 26.21%
Worthing
2-1 @ 9.55% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 7.31% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.08% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 4.65% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.97% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 2.9% (+0.09)
4-0 @ 2.22% (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.9% (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.11% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 51.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 10% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 6.25% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.01% (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.73% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.29%
Braintree Town
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.09)
0-1 @ 5.24% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 26.21%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT The A2B Stadium
  • Josh Chambers 36' goal
  • Reece Meekums 70' goal
  • goal Zak Bradshaw 14'
National League South Gameweek 13
Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Ironmongery Direct Stadium
  • Matt Rush 19' goal
  • Alfie Matthews 87' goal
  • goal Aaron Racine 11'