Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Worthing in this match.