Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Ebbsfleet United
National League | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stonebridge Road
Aldershot Town

Ebbsfleet
2 - 0
Aldershot

Domi (31'), Poleon (68')
Chapman (20'), Wakely (61'), O'Neill (66'), Poleon (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rowe (4'), Harries (42'), O'Keefe (49')
Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-2 Solihull
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League

Aldershot Town

All competitions
Last Game: Oldham 5-1 Aldershot
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 17.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawAldershot Town
61.4% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)20.85% (0.010000000000002 0.01)17.75% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.77% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.31% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)41.69% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.9% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)64.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.91% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)13.09% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.3% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)39.7% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.01% (0.0040000000000049 0)36.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.22% (0.004999999999999 0)73.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 61.39%
    Aldershot Town 17.75%
    Draw 20.85%
EbbsfleetDrawAldershot Town
2-0 @ 10% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.78% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 6.75% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 3.45% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.43% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.85%
1-2 @ 4.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 4.82% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.39% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.64%
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 17.75%

Head to Head
Apr 25, 2020 5.20pm
Gameweek 56
Aldershot
P-P
Ebbsfleet
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 8
Ebbsfleet
1-2
Aldershot
Ugwu (82')
Lawless (19'), Umerah (41'), Grimes (76')
Eyoma (43'), Chislett (59')
Kinsella (66'), Whittingham (74'), Walker (92')
Dec 1, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 28
Aldershot
0-2
Ebbsfleet

McDonnell (31'), McCoy (54')
Cheek (48'), Kedwell (67' pen.)
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 8
Ebbsfleet
3-1
Aldershot
Shields (35', 81'), Drury (72')
McClure (7')
Bernard (18')
May 2, 2018 7pm
Eliminators
Aldershot
1-1
Ebbsfleet
 Ebbsfleet win 5-4 on penalties
Kabamba (106')
Reynolds (115')
Winfield (119')
Rance (89')
rhs 2.0


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