Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | York City |
| 32.85% ( | 24.71% ( | 42.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.95% ( | 45.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.6% ( | 67.4% ( |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% ( | 26.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.48% ( | 61.52% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% ( | 21.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.79% ( | 54.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | York City |
| 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 2-0 @ 4.99% 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 4-1 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 3.23% Total : 32.85% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0-1 @ 8.68% ( 0-2 @ 6.72% ( 1-3 @ 4.62% ( 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 2-4 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.44% |