National League | Gameweek 4

Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK

Damson Park

Solihull
3 - 0
Dorking

Craig (16'), Kelly (45+1' pen.), Beck (65')

FT(HT: 2-0)

McManus (15'), Kuhl (38'), Taylor (85'), Taylor (90+9')
Kuhl (80')

Coverage of the National League clash between Solihull Moors and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Solihull Moors

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-2 Solihull
Wednesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 2-1 Southend
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.

Result
Solihull Moors	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
50.37% ( -0.07)	24.22% ( 0.19)	25.4% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 54.7% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.89% (

-0.9)

47.11% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.65% (

-0.85)

69.35% (

0.85)

Solihull Moors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.27% (

-0.37)

18.73% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.89% (

-0.63)

50.1% (

0.63)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.31% (

-0.57)

32.69% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.76% (

-0.65)

69.24% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Solihull Moors 50.37%

Dorking Wanderers 25.4%

Draw 24.21%

Solihull Moors	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.26% Total : 50.37%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.21%	0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 25.4%