National League | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
4 - 3
Dorking

Colclough (23'), Mandeville (64', 82'), Quigley (90+10')
Williams (24'), Naylor (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Prior (28', 53' pen.), Bowerman (90+3')
Taylor (27'), Cook (45+5'), Fuller (52'), McShane (72'), Gallagher (86')
Cook (81')

Coverage of the National League clash between Chesterfield and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Chesterfield 0-2 Sheff Utd
Saturday, July 15 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 2-1 Scunthorpe
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
49.09% ( -0.73)	23.84% ( 0.4)	27.07% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 57.49% (

-1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.87% (

-1.54)

44.13% (

1.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.49% (

-1.51)

66.51% (

1.51)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.91% (

-0.86)

18.09% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.98% (

-1.5)

49.02% (

1.5)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.19% (

-0.55)

29.81% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.11% (

-0.67)

65.89% (

0.67)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 49.09%

Dorking Wanderers 27.07%

Draw 23.83%

Chesterfield	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.57% Total : 49.09%	1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.35) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.83%	1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.19% Total : 27.07%