Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 57.82%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for York City had a probability of 20.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a York City win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | York City |
| 57.82% ( | 21.98% ( | 20.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.94% ( | 43.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.54% ( | 65.46% ( |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.37% ( | 14.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.25% ( | 42.75% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% ( | 35.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.08% ( | 71.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | York City |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 2-0 @ 9.51% ( 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 3-0 @ 6.09% ( 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 4-0 @ 2.93% ( 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 5-0 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 57.82% | 1-1 @ 10.33% 2-2 @ 5.19% 0-0 @ 5.15% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 5.4% ( 0-1 @ 5.38% ( 0-2 @ 2.81% ( 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.94% Total : 20.19% |