National League | Gameweek 4

Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK

Gateshead International Stadium

Gateshead
4 - 1
Ebbsfleet

Richardson (5'), Wearne (55', 64' pen., 90')
Storey (52'), Hannant (61'), McBride (72')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Poleon (18')
Clifford (31'), Domi (49'), Cousins (64')

Coverage of the National League clash between Gateshead and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gateshead

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Dag & Red 2-4 Gateshead
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-0 Aldershot
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-0 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Gateshead	Draw	Ebbsfleet
29.01% ( 0.91)	25.06% ( 0.67)	45.92% ( -1.58)

Both teams to score 54.87% (

-1.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.76% (

-2.37)

48.25% (

2.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.61% (

-2.2)

70.4% (

2.21)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.49% (

-0.56)

30.51% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.27% (

-0.66)

66.73% (

0.67)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.96% (

-1.63)

21.04% (

1.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.17% (

-2.61)

53.84% (

2.61)

Score Analysis

Gateshead 29.01%

Ebbsfleet 45.92%

Draw 25.06%

Gateshead	Draw	Ebbsfleet
1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.01%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 10% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.25) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.24) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.17) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.58% Total : 45.92%