Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hartlepool United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Gateshead |
| 38.36% ( | 24.48% | 37.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.8% ( | 43.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( | 65.59% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( | 22.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.02% ( | 55.98% |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% | 23.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.11% ( | 56.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% 1-0 @ 7.73% 2-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 3.1% 3-0 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.37% Total : 38.36% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 8.32% 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0-2 @ 5.57% 1-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.16% |