Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 30.68% ( | 25.54% ( | 43.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.51% ( | 49.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.47% ( | 71.53% ( |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.03% ( | 29.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.92% ( | 66.08% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.46% ( | 22.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.87% ( | 56.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 3-1 @ 2.94% ( 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 3-0 @ 1.97% ( Other @ 3.24% Total : 30.68% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0-2 @ 7.5% ( 1-3 @ 4.49% ( 0-3 @ 3.72% ( 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0-4 @ 1.39% ( 2-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.2% Total : 43.77% |