National League | Gameweek 6

Aug 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Hive Stadium

Barnet
3 - 2
Ebbsfleet

Kabamba (45+8', 62', 80')
Coker (23'), Hartigan (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Poleon (21', 69')
Coulthirst (31'), Martin (54'), Hollis (58')

Coverage of the National League clash between Barnet and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Dag & Red 1-0 Barnet
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Kidderminster
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Barnet	Draw	Ebbsfleet
34.57% ( -0.09)	25.38% ( -0.01)	40.05% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 56.15% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.38% (

0.02)

47.61% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.18% (

0.02)

69.82% (

-0.02)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.44% (

-0.05)

26.56% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.23% (

-0.06)

61.77% (

0.05)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.45% (

0.06)

23.54% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.4% (

0.08)

57.6% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Barnet 34.57%

Ebbsfleet 40.05%

Draw 25.38%

Barnet	Draw	Ebbsfleet
1-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.57%	1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.05%