Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Southend United
National League | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Roots Hall Stadium
Hartlepool United

Southend
2 - 3
Hartlepool

Bridge (5'), Scott-Morriss (53')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Crawford (28'), Grey (57'), Seaman (73')
Coverage of the National League clash between Southend United and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southend United

All competitions
Last Game: Dorking 2-1 Southend
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League

Hartlepool United

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 3-1 Maidenhead
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Southend UnitedDrawHartlepool United
47.57% (0.745 0.74)25.08% (-0.326 -0.33)27.35% (-0.416 -0.42)
Both teams to score 53.62% (0.714 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.67% (1.083 1.08)49.33% (-1.08 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.62% (0.968 0.97)71.38% (-0.96600000000001 -0.97)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24% (0.771 0.77)20.76% (-0.769 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.6% (1.196 1.2)53.4% (-1.193 -1.19)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.67% (0.246 0.25)32.33% (-0.245 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (0.277 0.28)68.83% (-0.276 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Southend United 47.57%
    Hartlepool United 27.35%
    Draw 25.08%
Southend UnitedDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 10.55% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.29% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.91% (0.159 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.35% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.108 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.106 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 47.57%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 6.71% (-0.301 -0.3)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.58% (-0.287 -0.29)
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.35%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2015 3pm
Hartlepool
0-1
Southend

Jones (67')
Atkinson (53')
Barrett (45'), Worrall (72')
Nov 15, 2014 3pm
Southend
1-0
Hartlepool
Worrall (65')
Timlin (11')

Austin (45'), Fenwick (85')
Feb 18, 2014 7.45pm
Southend
1-1
Hartlepool
Corr (43')
Phillips (23'), Leonard (82')
Walker (59')
Monkhouse (77')
Aug 10, 2013 3pm
Hartlepool
0-1
Southend

Austin (44')
Eastwood (5')
Corr (45')
Mar 6, 2010 3pm
Hartlepool
3-0
Southend
O'Donovan (16', 32', 90')
Sweeney (64')

McCormack (36')
McCormack (82')