Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 22.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 54.25% ( | 23.68% ( | 22.07% |
| Both teams to score 52.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.93% ( | 48.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.76% ( | 70.24% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.38% ( | 17.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.79% ( | 48.21% ( |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.82% | 36.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.04% ( | 72.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 9.77% 2-0 @ 9.61% 3-1 @ 5.65% 3-0 @ 5.56% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 2.45% 4-0 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 3.61% Total : 54.24% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 6.37% 2-2 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.68% | 0-1 @ 6.48% 1-2 @ 5.72% 0-2 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.83% Total : 22.07% |