National League | Gameweek 5

Oct 10, 2020 at 3pm UK

York Road

Maidenhead
0 - 4
Hartlepool

Donnellan (49'), Ofori-Twumasi (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Orsi-Dadamo (45+1' og.), Ofosu (47'), Johnson (52'), Holohan (83')
Johnson (19'), Ferguson (29'), Crawford (85')

Coverage of the National League clash between Maidenhead United and Hartlepool United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Maidenhead United	Draw	Hartlepool United
34.84%	25.19%	39.97%

Both teams to score 56.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.28%

46.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.01%

68.99%

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02%

25.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.01%

60.99%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.8%

23.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.91%

57.08%

Score Analysis

Maidenhead United 34.84%

Hartlepool United 39.97%

Draw 25.18%

Maidenhead United	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 8.12% 2-1 @ 8% 2-0 @ 5.47% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.36% Total : 34.84%	1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 5.85% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 8.8% 1-2 @ 8.67% 0-2 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 4.22% 0-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.85% 1-4 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.13% Total : 39.97%