National League Gameweek 9
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Crown Oil Arena
  • Tyrese Sinclair 24' goal
  • Ethan Ebanks-Landell 29' yellowcard
  • Tyrese Sinclair 43' goal
  • Harvey Gilmour 51' goal
  • Louie Moulden 86' yellowcard
  • Ian Henderson 89' goal
  • goal Nicke Kabamba 26'
  • yellowcard Anthony Hartigan 44'
  • goal Nicke Kabamba 67'

Rochdale vs Barnet - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last game
Sep 9, 2023 3.00pm
Kidderminster 1 - 1 Rochdale
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Kairo Mitchell

Barnet

All competitions
Last game
Sep 9, 2023 3.00pm
Barnet 3 - 0 Altrincham
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Nicke Kabamba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Barnet win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result

Rochdale 43.09% (-0.05)
Draw 25.61% (+0.01)
Barnet 31.29% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.3% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.45% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 49.54% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 28.42% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 71.57% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 13.6% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.4% (-0.01)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5 77.11% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 22.89% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 43.36% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 56.64% (+0.03)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5 70.42% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 29.58% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 34.39% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 65.61% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Rochdale 43.09%
Draw 25.61%
Barnet 31.29%
Rochdale
1-0 @ 9.98% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.36% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.62% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 43.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.61%
Barnet
0-1 @ 8.25% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.41% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.02% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 31.29%

Head to Head

League Two
Feb 23, 2013 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nauro Vilhete 86' yellowcard
  • Bondz Ngala 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brian Barry-Murphy 58'
  • yellowcard Michael Rose 70'
  • yellowcard Ritchie Jones 78'
League Two
Sep 1, 2012 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ryan Edwards 8' yellowcard
  • Ashley Grimes 17' goal
  • Dele Adebola 34' goal
League Two
May 8, 2010 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Albert Jarrett 90' goal
  • Albert Jarrett 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcus Holness 22'
League Two
Oct 10, 2009 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Chris Dagnall 11' goal
  • Tom Kennedy 45' goal
  • Gary Jones 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Cole 87'
  • yellowcard Mark Hughes 90'
League Two
Mar 3, 2009 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • John O'Flynn 42' goal
  • Yala Bolasie 90' goal
  • goal Lee McEvilly 45'
  • yellowcard Tom Kennedy 49'
League Two
Aug 16, 2008 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Adam Rundle 19' yellowcard
  • Adam Rundle 39' goal
  • Chris Dagnall 45' goal
  • Jon Shaw 72' goal
  • goal Adam Birchall 3'