Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Rochdale
National League | Gameweek 9
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Barnet

Rochdale
4 - 2
Barnet

Sinclair (24', 43'), Gilmour (51'), Henderson (89')
Ebanks-Landell (29'), Moulden (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kabamba (26', 67')
Hartigan (44')
Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Barnet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-1 Rochdale
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League

Barnet

All competitions
Last Game: Barnet 3-0 Altrincham
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Barnet win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawBarnet
43.09% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)25.61% (0.00099999999999767 0)31.29% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.3% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)49.54% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.42% (0.004999999999999 0)71.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.11% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)22.89% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)56.64% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.58% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.39% (0.036999999999999 0.04)65.61% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 43.09%
    Barnet 31.29%
    Draw 25.61%
RochdaleDrawBarnet
1-0 @ 9.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.09%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 8.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 7.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 31.29%

Head to Head
Feb 23, 2013 3pm
Barnet
0-0
Rochdale
Vilhete (86'), Ngala (89')
Barry-Murphy (58'), Rose (70'), Jones (78')
Sep 1, 2012 3pm
Rochdale
2-0
Barnet
Grimes (17'), Adebola (34')
Edwards (8')
May 8, 2010 3pm
Barnet
1-0
Rochdale
Jarrett (90')
Jarrett (90')

Holness (22')
Oct 10, 2009 3pm
Rochdale
2-1
Barnet
Kennedy (45' pen.), Dagnall (11')
Jones (75')

Cole (87'), Hughes (90')
Mar 3, 2009 3pm
Barnet
2-1
Rochdale
Bolasie (90'), O'Flynn (42')
McEvilly (45')
Kennedy (49')
rhs 2.0


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