Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 44.53% ( | 25.02% ( | 30.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.67% ( | 47.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.45% ( | 69.55% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.72% ( | 21.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.79% ( | 54.21% ( |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.96% | 29.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.06% | 64.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% ( 2-1 @ 9.15% 2-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 3-0 @ 3.82% ( 3-2 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.54% Total : 44.53% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( 1-2 @ 7.31% 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 1-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.45% |