Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rochdale in this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Rochdale |
| 31.23% | 26.4% | 42.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.2% ( | 52.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.57% ( | 74.43% |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.73% ( | 31.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.38% ( | 67.62% |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.32% ( | 24.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.79% | 59.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.98% Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.23% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.72% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 8.78% 0-2 @ 7.55% 1-3 @ 4.1% 0-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.36% |