National League | Gameweek 10

Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Hive Stadium

Barnet
2 - 1
Aldershot

Collinge (44'), Kabamba (49')
Kanu (26'), Walker (59'), Brunt (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tolaj (59')
Barham (9'), Mnoga (20'), van Stappershoef (23'), Jones (37')

Coverage of the National League clash between Barnet and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 4-2 Barnet
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Gateshead
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
Barnet	Draw	Aldershot Town
50.44% ( 0.17)	24.3% ( -0.21)	25.26% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 54.27% (

0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.39% (

0.93)

47.61% (

-0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.19% (

0.85)

69.81% (

-0.85)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.1% (

0.43)

18.9% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.61% (

0.71)

50.39% (

-0.71)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.92% (

0.54)

33.08% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.32% (

0.59)

69.68% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Barnet 50.43%

Aldershot Town 25.26%

Draw 24.3%

Barnet	Draw	Aldershot Town
1-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.19% Total : 50.43%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.3%	0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 25.26%