Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Gateshead |
| 27.55% ( | 23.64% ( | 48.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.11% ( | 42.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.71% ( | 65.28% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% ( | 28.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.34% ( | 64.66% ( |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.28% ( | 17.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.61% ( | 48.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 6.84% ( 1-0 @ 6.35% ( 2-0 @ 3.95% ( 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 3-0 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 3.47% Total : 27.55% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 3-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0-2 @ 7.64% ( 1-3 @ 5.49% ( 0-3 @ 4.41% ( 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 1-4 @ 2.37% ( 0-4 @ 1.91% ( 2-4 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 3.75% Total : 48.8% |