Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 23.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 53.5% ( | 23.13% ( | 23.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.71% ( | 44.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.33% ( | 66.66% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.49% ( | 16.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.75% ( | 46.25% ( |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.11% ( | 32.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.53% ( | 69.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Wealdstone |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 3-0 @ 5.29% ( 3-2 @ 3.27% 4-1 @ 2.65% ( 4-0 @ 2.38% ( 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.23% Total : 53.5% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0-0 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.12% | 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 23.37% |