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Wealdstone
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Wealdstone
National League | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Grosvenor Vale
AFC Fylde

Wealdstone
3 - 2
Fylde

Campbell (10', 90+9'), Ferguson (86')
Charles (8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Omotayo (37'), Haughton (57')
Bird (60'), Whitehead (90+3'), Richardson (90+6')
Bird (62')
Coverage of the National League clash between Wealdstone and Fylde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wealdstone

All competitions
Last Game: Bromley 1-1 Wealdstone
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League

Fylde

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Fylde 2-1 Kidderminster
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 49.12%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
WealdstoneDrawFylde
26.03% (1.559 1.56)24.85% (0.418 0.42)49.12% (-1.98 -1.98)
Both teams to score 53.27% (0.19900000000001 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.73% (-0.463 -0.46)49.27% (0.46 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.67% (-0.419 -0.42)71.32% (0.417 0.42)
Wealdstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.66% (1.058 1.06)33.34% (-1.062 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.04% (1.145 1.15)69.96% (-1.149 -1.15)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91% (-0.986 -0.99)20.08% (0.983 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.68% (-1.606 -1.61)52.32% (1.602 1.6)
Score Analysis
    Wealdstone 26.03%
    Fylde 49.12%
    Draw 24.84%
WealdstoneDrawFylde
1-0 @ 7.35% (0.344 0.34)
2-1 @ 6.48% (0.291 0.29)
2-0 @ 4.04% (0.298 0.3)
3-1 @ 2.37% (0.171 0.17)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.148 0.15)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 26.03%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.69% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.078 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 10.74% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 9.48% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 8.63% (-0.376 -0.38)
1-3 @ 5.07% (-0.231 -0.23)
0-3 @ 4.62% (-0.352 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.04% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 49.12%