AFC Fylde
National League North | Gameweek 45
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mill Farm Stadium

Fylde
5 - 1
Leamington

Conlan (1'), Haughton (38' pen., 41', 58', 82')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Turner (61')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Fylde and Leamington FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boston 0-1 Fylde
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 1-2 Chorley
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 65.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 15.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Leamington FC win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.

Result
FyldeDrawLeamington FC
65.16% (0.32600000000001 0.33)19.65% (-0.136 -0.14)15.19% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 53.15% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.97% (0.235 0.23)41.02% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.58% (0.239 0.24)63.42% (-0.236 -0.24)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.18% (0.16 0.16)11.82% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.93% (0.336 0.34)37.07% (-0.333 -0.33)
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.27% (-0.105 -0.1)39.72% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.6% (-0.096 -0.1)76.4% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Fylde 65.14%
    Leamington FC 15.19%
    Draw 19.65%
FyldeDrawLeamington FC
2-0 @ 10.7% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.02% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.62% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 7.03% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.07% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.76% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.74% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.6% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 65.14%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.65%
0-1 @ 4.34% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 15.19%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 14
Leamington
2-1
Fylde
Clarke (75'), Hewlett (87' pen.)
Haughton (15')
Barrett (73')
May 7, 2022 3pm
gameweek 42
Fylde
1-0
Leamington
Haughton (13')
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Leamington
0-2
Fylde
Osborne (25'), Whitmore (61')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
gameweek 28
Fylde
0-0
Leamington
Nov 24, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 6
Leamington
1-1
Fylde
Osborne (90+2')
Gittings (59')