Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Fylde had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Fylde win it was 1-0 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 20.39% ( | 23.05% ( | 56.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.59% ( | 47.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.37% ( | 69.63% ( |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.53% ( | 37.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.75% ( | 74.25% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.45% ( | 16.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.68% ( | 46.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 6.09% ( 2-1 @ 5.38% ( 2-0 @ 2.99% ( 3-1 @ 1.76% ( 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 3-0 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.62% Total : 20.39% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.05% | 0-1 @ 11.15% ( 0-2 @ 10.03% ( 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0-3 @ 6.01% ( 1-3 @ 5.91% ( 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0-4 @ 2.71% ( 1-4 @ 2.66% ( 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0-5 @ 0.97% ( 1-5 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.12% Total : 56.56% |