National League | Gameweek 6

Aug 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh
3 - 0
Aldershot

Maguire (37'), Boldewijn (63', 70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Stokes (55')
van Stappershoef (34')

Coverage of the National League clash between Eastleigh and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions

Last Game: Southend 2-0 Eastleigh
Friday, August 25 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aldershot 3-1 Wealdstone
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.

Result
Eastleigh	Draw	Aldershot Town
42.75% ( -0.16)	25.92% ( 0.01)	31.33% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 53.31% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.17% (

0.01)

50.83% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.28% (

0.01)

72.71% (

-0.01)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.38% (

-0.07)

23.62% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.3% (

-0.11)

57.7% (

0.11)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.8% (

0.11)

30.2% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.64% (

0.13)

66.36% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Eastleigh 42.74%

Aldershot Town 31.33%

Draw 25.92%

Eastleigh	Draw	Aldershot Town
1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 42.74%	1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.33%