National League | Gameweek 7

Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot
3 - 4
Chesterfield

Stokes (25'), Barham (60', 84')
Widdrington (68'), Jones (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Colclough (33'), Grigg (48'), Naylor (54'), Quigley (87')
Palmer (8'), Jones (90'), Quigley (90+3')

Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Eastleigh 3-0 Aldershot
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Hartlepool
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 56.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Aldershot Town	Draw	Chesterfield
21.16% ( -0.02)	22.56% ( -0.01)	56.28% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.91% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.64% (

0.01)

44.36% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.27% (

0.01)

66.73% (

-0.01)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.04% (

-0.01)

34.96% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.3% (

-0.01)

71.7% (

0.02)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.43% (

0.01)

15.58% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.46% (

0.02)

44.54% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Aldershot Town 21.16%

Chesterfield 56.28%

Draw 22.56%

Aldershot Town	Draw	Chesterfield
1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.01% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 21.16%	1-1 @ 10.64% 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.56%	0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.41% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.85% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 56.28%