Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 53.8%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 23.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 23.34% | 22.86% | 53.8% |
| Both teams to score 56.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.88% | 43.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.48% | 65.52% |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.73% | 32.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.23% | 68.76% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.01% | 15.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.7% | 45.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 6.05% 1-0 @ 5.84% 2-0 @ 3.3% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.54% Total : 23.34% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 5.55% 0-0 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-1 @ 9.46% 0-2 @ 8.67% 1-3 @ 5.99% 0-3 @ 5.3% 2-3 @ 3.39% 1-4 @ 2.75% 0-4 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 1.55% 1-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.45% Total : 53.8% |