Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 47.4%. A win for King's Lynn Town had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest King's Lynn Town win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
| 47.4% | 24.98% | 27.63% |
| Both teams to score 54.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.29% | 48.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.18% | 70.82% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% | 20.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.87% | 53.13% |
| King's Lynn Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.22% | 31.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.78% | 68.22% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 8.17% 3-1 @ 4.94% 3-0 @ 4.31% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.68% Total : 47.39% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.54% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.5% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.63% |