Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 38.19% | 27.16% | 34.65% |
| Both teams to score 50.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.9% | 55.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.65% | 76.35% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72% | 28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.36% | 63.64% |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.86% | 30.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.71% | 66.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.18% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.44% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.33% Total : 34.65% |