Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-0 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 20.07% ( | 22.66% | 57.27% |
| Both teams to score 52.9% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.79% ( | 46.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.5% ( | 68.5% ( |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.89% ( | 37.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.11% ( | 73.89% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.11% ( | 15.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.89% ( | 45.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 5.84% ( 2-1 @ 5.33% ( 2-0 @ 2.9% 3-1 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.62% 3-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.66% Total : 20.07% | 1-1 @ 10.75% 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.66% | 0-1 @ 10.84% 0-2 @ 9.98% ( 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-3 @ 6.12% 1-3 @ 6.07% 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0-4 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 2.79% ( 2-4 @ 1.38% 0-5 @ 1.04% 1-5 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 57.26% |