Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-0 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 20.21% ( | 22.83% ( | 56.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.26% ( | 46.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31% ( | 69% ( |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.73% ( | 37.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.94% ( | 74.06% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.83% ( | 16.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.36% ( | 45.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 5.95% 2-1 @ 5.35% 2-0 @ 2.94% 3-1 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.6% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.64% Total : 20.21% | 1-1 @ 10.83% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.82% | 0-1 @ 10.98% 0-2 @ 10% 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-3 @ 6.08% ( 1-3 @ 6% 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0-4 @ 2.77% ( 1-4 @ 2.73% 2-4 @ 1.35% 0-5 @ 1.01% 1-5 @ 1% Other @ 2.23% Total : 56.96% |