Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chesterfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 35.13% | 26.12% | 38.75% |
| Both teams to score 53.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.21% | 50.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.32% | 72.68% |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% | 27.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.68% | 63.31% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.33% | 25.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.43% | 60.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% 2-1 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.88% Total : 35.13% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 9.68% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 6.59% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 2.99% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.45% Total : 38.75% |