Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 39.82% | 25.45% | 34.73% |
| Both teams to score 55.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.07% | 47.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.89% | 70.11% |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.19% | 23.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.02% | 57.98% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.38% | 26.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.15% | 61.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.82% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.34% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 8.39% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.73% |