Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.61%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sutton United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Sutton United |
| 34.7% | 28.78% | 36.52% |
| Both teams to score 45.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.9% | 61.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.93% | 81.06% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.84% | 33.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.23% | 69.77% |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% | 31.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.56% | 68.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Sutton United |
| 1-0 @ 11.7% 2-1 @ 7.36% 2-0 @ 6.46% 3-1 @ 2.71% 3-0 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.69% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.77% | 0-1 @ 12.09% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 6.89% 1-3 @ 2.89% 0-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.82% Total : 36.52% |